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  The Ticking Bomb Fallacy:
A Surrender of our values
Capitulation to Depravity

The "Ticking Bomb" Argument For Torture

The argument goes like this: A nuclear bomb has been planted in the heart of a major American city, and authorities have in custody a person who knows where it is located. To save possibly millions of lives, would it not be justified to torture this individual to get the information? Is not this lesser evil justified?

Of course it is. And this argument is a wonderful means to comfort those who have moral problems with torture. The beauty of this argument is that once you concede there are circumstances were torture might be justified, morally and legally (through what criminal law calls the defense of necessity: that an act is justified to save lives), you are on the other side of the line. You've joined the torture crowd.

Those who've invoked the argument range from Alan Dershowitz, to the Israeli Supreme Court, to the Schlesinger Report on Abu Ghraib, to the Robb/Silberman Pre-Iraq War Intelligence Report.

Most recently, and eloquently, the argument was set forth in the pages of The Weekly Standard, by Charles Krauthammer. His powerful essay, "The Truth about Torture: It's time to be honest about doing terrible things," received wide circulation on the internet.

With all these great minds, and moral authorities, relying on this argument, it is with some trepidation that I point out that it is phony. I do so for a number of very real reasons.

Fallacies In The "Ticking Bomb" Argument -- The Clock Does Not Work

It is a rhetorical device. It is seductively simplistic, and compellingly logical. It is also pure fantasy. The conditions of ticking bomb scenarios are seldom real.

No one has more effectively probed the fallacies of this argument than Georgetown University School of Law professor David Luban. Writing in the Washington Post, in a piece entitled "Torture, American-Style," Luban explains why, while it makes good television melodrama, this scenario does not produce critical thinking.

Professor Luban surgically dissects this argument at greater length in the October 2005 Virginia Law Review. His essay "Liberalism, Torture, and the Ticking Bomb" is very much worth the read. Citing moral philosopher Bernard Williams, Luban writes that "There are certain situations so monstrous that the idea that the processes of moral rationality could yield an answer in them is insane," and "to spend time thinking what one would decide if one were in such a situation is also insane, if not merely frivolous."

Indeed, shouldn't the President, the Vice President, and those members of the Senate and House embracing the power to torture without justification, without court oversight, and without limits, look, instead, at what they are doing to us as a society? As professor Luban notes, "McCain has said that ultimately the debate is over who we are. We will never figure that out until we stop talking about ticking bombs, and stop playing games with words."

Which brings us to the present situation.   ~~~John Dean
FindLaw.com

 

The Twisted Logic of Torture

A warped and dangerous logic lies behind the Bush administration’s refusal to reject coercive interrogation.  Many American security officials seem to believe that coercive interrogation is necessary to protect Americans and their allies from a catastrophic terrorist attack.  Torture and inhumane treatment may be wrong, they contend, but mass murder is worse, so the lesser evil must be tolerated to prevent the greater one.  Yet, aware of how fundamental the prohibition of torture is to modern civilization, even proponents of a hard-line approach to counter-terrorism are reluctant to prescribe systematic torture.  Instead, they purport to create a rare exception to the rule against torture by invoking the “ticking bomb” scenario, a situation in which interrogators are said to learn that a terrorist suspect in custody knows where a ticking bomb has been planted and must force that information from him to save lives. 

The ticking bomb scenario makes for great philosophical discussion, but it rarely arises in real life—at least not in a way that avoids opening the door to pervasive torture.  In fact, interrogators hardly ever learn that a suspect in custody knows of a particular, imminent terrorist bombing.  Intelligence is rarely if ever good enough to provide such specific, advance warning.  Instead, the ticking bomb scenario is a dangerously expansive metaphor capable of embracing anyone who might have knowledge of unspecified future terrorist attacks.  After all, why are the victims of only an imminent terrorist attack deserving of protection by torture?  Why not also use torture to prevent a terrorist attack tomorrow or next week or next year?  And once the taboo against torture is broken, why stop with the alleged terrorists themselves?  Why not also torture their families or associates—anyone who might provide life-saving information?  The slope is very slippery.

Israel provides an instructive example of how dangerously elastic the ticking-bomb rationale can become.  In 1987, the Landau Commission in Israel authorized the use of “moderate physical pressure” in ticking-bomb situations.  A practice initially justified as rare and exceptional, taken only when necessary to save lives, gradually became standard procedure.  Soon, some 80 to 90 percent of Palestinian security detainees were being tortured—until, in 1999, the Israeli Supreme Court curtailed the practice. 

Other schemes have also been suggested to allow only exceptional torture.  Judges might be asked to approve torture.  Consent of the highest levels of the executive branch might be required.  Yet in the end, any effort to regulate torture ends up legitimizing it and inviting its repetition.  “Never” cannot be redeemed if allowed to be read as “sometimes.”  Regulation too easily becomes license. 

The Bush administration tried to allow just limited coercion through close regulation, but that, predictably, led to more expansive use.  Once a government allows interrogators to ratchet up the level of pain, suffering, and humiliation, severe abuse will not be far behind.  That’s because a hardened terrorist is unlikely to be moved by minor discomfort or modest levels of pain.  Once coercion is permitted, interrogators will be tempted to intensify the mistreatment until the suspect cracks.  And so, cruel, inhuman or degrading treatment gives way to torture.

As most professional interrogators explain, and as the U.S. army’s interrogation manual confirms, coercive interrogation is far less likely to produce reliable information than the time-tested methods of careful questioning, probing, cross-checking, and gaining the confidence of the detainee.  A person facing severe pain is likely to say whatever he thinks will stop the torture.  But a skilled interrogator can often extract accurate information from the toughest suspect without resorting to coercion.

Moreover, once the norm against torture is breached, it is difficult to limit the consequences.  Those who face increased risk of torture are not only “terrorist suspects” but anyone who finds himself in custody anywhere in the world—including, of course, Americans.  After all, how can the United States protest others’ mistreatment of its troops when their jailors do no more than what Washington does to its own detainees? 

In addition, a compromised prohibition of torture undermines other human rights.  That endangers us all, in part because of the dangerous implications for the campaign against terrorism.  Why, after all, is it acceptable to breach the fundamental prohibition of torture but not acceptable to breach the fundamental prohibition against attacking civilians?  The torturer may justify his conduct by appeal to a higher good, but so do most terrorists.  In neither case should the end be allowed to justify the means. 

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